Always play OVER never UNDER in hoops

Search

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,776
Tokens
At least in games where there is a legit chance of overtime, the under always risks overtime.

I have won two overs in NBA in the past week solely because of overtime.

I hear that sharps mostly play unders, any truth to that?
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2002
Messages
2,954
Tokens
as with all overs public bias does move the line further up, but sometimes, not always, and in some cases with defensive teams such as detroit the public might even bias the line towards the under.

Not a sharp hoops bettor myself in any way, just a fairly good one when i take the time, but i d say that sharps dont have any particular preference on the overs or unders, and play less totals than sides.
 

New member
Joined
Jul 20, 2002
Messages
10,363
Tokens
Hammy best advice you will every get is right now.

If you do not like a game under, do not bet it.

Your pockets will be fuller in the long run staying away from overs.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,776
Tokens
Honestly, are you a sharp? If so, thanks for the advice. ham

JD

There are times when the public moves the total down, true
 

New member
Joined
Jul 20, 2002
Messages
10,363
Tokens
No I am not Hammy but that advice comes from pros that I talk too and bet for a living.

Good Luck
 

There's always next year, like in 75, 90-93, 99 &
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
15,270
Tokens
my money's with jj.
 

hacheman@therx.com
Staff member
Joined
Jan 2, 2002
Messages
139,222
Tokens
Sorry Ham, I have to disagree with that philosophy.Your right about the overtime issue, but there's risk in everything. Sometimes there are strong unders that come along, much like the one including Dallas and Sac~town the other night, where many of us down in the NBA forum liked the under.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,776
Tokens
Hache, thanks. I would like to hear if and why sharps play mostly unders. If so, then do they lay off games with low spreads that have a higher prob of going into OT. thanks
 

hacheman@therx.com
Staff member
Joined
Jan 2, 2002
Messages
139,222
Tokens
Not sure Ham why they would prefer more unders than overs, you make a valid point about the OT. Have you looked into this past years o/u results to see if you can find anywhere how balanced the o/u's were, as in which one finished higher %~wise.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,776
Tokens
Hache, I would guess that a high percentage, at least 80% of OT games also go over the total. It is even more true on halftime total plays.
 

hacheman@therx.com
Staff member
Joined
Jan 2, 2002
Messages
139,222
Tokens
What I mean is ham, do you know of any software you use that might give us the totals of unders vs. the total of overs this past year, and last few years.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,460
Tokens
There is a question being asked that no one has answered...and that is...

What is the historical over/under ratio of NBA game totals?
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
476
Tokens
Overtime is like 17-1 or something I think...
Its probably lower this time of year though...
 

New member
Joined
Jan 21, 2002
Messages
3,949
Tokens
in the past ive tried to factor in the o.t. element when betting totals....i would assume a game with a line of 3 or less had a better chance of going into o.t. than say a -9...

but IMO o.t. shouldnt be a factor in your decision on whether to bet ov/un.....

but i will say this........."sharps" tend to have a field day betting nba totals, especially early in the season...
 

hacheman@therx.com
Staff member
Joined
Jan 2, 2002
Messages
139,222
Tokens
Early on there was belief that the zone defense would alter the o/u 's , but if we could get the info and stats of the past couple seasons and compare them, I almost guarantee you there wasnt much change.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,460
Tokens
Second only to Boxing, NBA totals are the hardest number to post. -Roxy

Now where are those historical NBA total stats boys?
 

hacheman@therx.com
Staff member
Joined
Jan 2, 2002
Messages
139,222
Tokens
Free throws are such a factor at the end of not only NBA games , but also NCAA. Usually,if a team does not have a comfortable lead at the end of a game and the points are on an average basis, your under is definitely in jeopardy of going over every single time.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
476
Tokens
Hache, I speak fluent english.
I am not into stats and therefore have do not know the answer you seek...
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,120,307
Messages
13,580,069
Members
100,958
Latest member
onestpfwdtwostpsback
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com